The Santa Claus Rally occurs during the last 5 trading days in December and the first 2 trading days in January. So, how did the latest Santa Claus rally fare this year? The Rally got off to a great start, then fizzled out as the period progressed, and ended up rather poorly. [more]
We have updated our Seasonality Chart (presented at the end of this report) and made significant changes, including updating the beginning-and-end dates for the periods of seasonality strength, and adding a further ten industry sectors. We remain cautious towards the market and recommend defensive positions. Given the recent strong upward movements in stock prices, we would welcome over the summer months a lengthy consolidation period or a meaningful, but healthy, pull-back. [more]
A MarketWatch article outlines the first Fibonacci retracement around 20,750. [more]
With the exceptional volatility that has recently gripped global stock markets, many indexes have declined sufficiently enough to now threaten their rising trend-lines. This has negative implications for the nine-year bull market. [more]
The RASI continues its unbroken rise every day and now sports a 16-day continual increase going back to December 5. Then, it was 449.50. Now, it is 883.74. This equates to a gain of 97%. In the same time-frame, the DJIA has also risen, with a gain of 3.1%. The RASI and the DJIA are now back in sync. [more]
The current reading of 725 is a Positive indicator for the DJIA. The latest swoon bottomed out on December 5 and the Index has risen every day since then, gaining an impressive 61% in that time-frame. The RASI and the DJIA are now back in sync. [more]
Last week, the RASI declined below the important 500 level. This is bearish as it signals that the outlook for the stock market is Negative. Right now, the RASI and the DJIA are diverging, with the RASI declining and the DJIA rising. A divergent trend rarely lasts long. [more]
The RASI and the DJIA normally move in unison but, since the beginning of November, the two indexes have moved in opposite directions. While the RASI declined, the DJIA moved into new high ground … until Tuesday, November 19. Is the 100-point down-turn in the DJIA the beginning of a pull-back? [more]
The RASI and the DJIA normally move in unison but, over the last five trading days, a slight divergence between the two has occurred. As the RASI moved lower, the DJIA established new all-time highs. This cannot continue for long. [more]
The RASI continues its run higher, rising 9.3% this past week, from 678 to 741. It is now only about 7% below its overhead resistance line at 800. If the Index reaches 800, will this turn out to be a Triple Top or will the Index bullishly break through and continue higher? [more]
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