The market is about to enter its traditional seasonal period of strength. This extends from about the middle of October until the end of May. Meanwhile, October can be very volatile so continued caution is required. [more]
We cautioned last month that September is typically a difficult month for the stock market. This year has been no different. Our Portfolio dropped 2.0%, while the S&P TSX Composite Index fared slightly worse, dropping 2.5%. The S&P 500 Index was down 4.8%, while the DJIA was off 4.3%. [more]
The Energy sector has not performed well over the past ten years. One of the laggards in the last few years is Suncor. This can be attributed to its almost singular focus on its oil sands projects. But, Suncor is now seriously evaluating non-fossil fuels opportunities. If Suncor can break above the Chart’s declining down trend-line, this would be very favourable for the stock, with greater expectations for further appreciation. [more]
The S&P 500 Index might have reached a near-term peak. The index is struggling to stay above its rising trend-line. It has also experienced a near-perfect, albeit short, “roll-over”. Is this the start of a pull-back? [more]
The summer months, including part of September, typically are bearish months for the stock market, and it is usual to witness increased volatility as September proceeds. Then, historically, from about mid-September until about mid-January, the market exhibits a decided upturn, although usually a little bumpy along the way. [more]
The value of the Portfolio on August 27 was $537,153, up 7.4% from the initial investment of $500,000. For comparative purposes, the S&P/TSX Composite Index gained 4.6% since inception. [more]
The summer months typically are bearish months for the stock market. In our opinion, this scenario now seems to be unfolding. This month, August sees SIX new additions to the positive seasonality trends, EIGHT indexes/sectors have left the “podium”, and THREE are leaving later this month. Our complete chart is presented at the bottom of the article. [more]
The value of the Portfolio on July 30 was $535,900, up 7.2% from the $500,000 initial investment. For comparative purposes, the S&P/TSX Composite Index gained 2.8% since inception. [more]
We updated our Seasonality Chart last month and made significant changes, including updating the beginning-and-end dates for the periods of seasonality strength, and adding a further ten industry sectors. The Canadian and U.S. markets continue to perform well against all historical odds. How long will this continue before there is a meaningful pull-back? We think that we are getting close to a market reckoning. [more]
The value of the Portfolio on June 25 was $522,977, up 1.2% from the $516,655 value recorded two weeks ago, and up 4.6% since its inception on June 1. For comparative purposes, the S&P/TSX Composite Index gained 0.5% in the last two weeks and 2.5% since inception. [more]
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