Equity Clock: Stock Market Outlook

We have updated our Seasonality Chart (presented at the end of this report) and made significant changes, including updating the beginning-and-end dates for the periods of seasonality strength, and adding a further ten industry sectors. We remain cautious towards the market and recommend defensive positions. Given the recent strong upward movements in stock prices, we would welcome over the summer months a lengthy consolidation period or a meaningful, but healthy, pull-back. [more]

Although market assessment has been turned upside down, there are still useful strategies to employ in composing a profitable portfolio in highly volatile markets like we have been experiencing. One such strategy is using seasonality trends as a guideline. [more]

Portfolio performance is often top-of-mind at the beginning of a new year. A key to profitable portfolio performance can be gained by assessing the market’s seasonality trends. This report highlights what indexes/sectors are currently going-in/going-out of expected strength in January. [more]