Net Worth and Risk Aversion

U.S. Households’ Net Worth and Federal Debt

eResearch | The net worth of U.S. households continues to increase while, at the same time, households’ leverage continues to decline. What this means is that U.S. households’ asset values are rising at the same time that risk aversion continues strong. This is a relatively healthy situation.

The amount of U.S. households’ net worth has reached about $113 trillion, as shown in the chart below. Every asset class has shown increases, including savings accounts, stock and bond holdings, real estate, and private businesses.

2019-10-17 Calafia - Chart 1 - US Households Balance Sheet
Source: Federal Reservce; scottgrannis.blogspot.com

The next chart shows U.S. household net worth adjusted for inflation. The historical trend is about 3.6% per annum, and current annual increases are mirroring that rate.

2019-10-17 Calafia - Chart 2 - US Real Household Net Worth
Source: Federal Reservce; scottgrannis.blogspot.com

Our final chart shows the trend in U.S. federal debt, which has been rising dramatically. Although higher levels of federal debt are not a good thing, the fact that federal debt interest payments reflect the persistently low level of interest rates means that federal payments are actually declining when considered as a percent of GDP.

2019-10-17 Calafia - Chart 3 - Federal Debt Burden vs Interest Rates
Source: Federal Reservce; scottgrannis.blogspot.com

Scott Grannis, the Calafia Beach Pundit, concludes his article with the statement that “In short, while federal debt looks bad on the surface, in reality we are far from facing a disastrous situation.”

You can read the entire Calafia Beach Pundit article by clicking: http://scottgrannis.blogspot.com/2019/10/net-worth-and-risk-aversion.html

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About Bob Weir 3242 Articles
Bob Weir has over 50 years of investment research and analytical experience in both the equity and fixed-income sectors, and in the commercial real estate industry. He joined eResearch in 2004 and was its President, CEO, and Managing Director, Research Services until December 2018. Prior to joining eResearch, Bob was at Dominion Bond Rating Service (DBRS).