Equity Clock: Stock Market Outlook

With the seasonality strength of thirteen indexes/sectors coming to an end in April, it may be prudent for investors to trim their positions before the market enters its traditional weak period of May through September. [more]

As we mentioned last month, March is a very active month, with a whopping 30 indexes/sectors entering strong seasonality trends, and only 2 ending their latest strong period. Many of these indexes and sectors will need to show “good colours” because performance in the first two months has been brutal almost across the board. Below, we highlight some of the indexes/sectors that are due for a rebound. [more]

We have updated our Seasonality Chart (presented at the end of this report) and made significant changes, including updating the beginning-and-end dates for the periods of seasonality strength, and adding a further ten industry sectors. We remain cautious towards the market and recommend defensive positions. Given the recent strong upward movements in stock prices, we would welcome over the summer months a lengthy consolidation period or a meaningful, but healthy, pull-back. [more]