Recession Barometer - word montage
Economic Insights

Recession Barometer – No Worries for USA, Yet

We have completed a comprehensive review of the possibility of a recession occurring in the USA in the near future. While there is no expectation currently, if Covid-19 escalates globally, the situation could change very quickly. [more]

Model Oil Portfolio

Oil Portfolio Decline Levels Off

The Energy Sector fared a little better over the last two weeks. However, our Model Oil Portfolio dropped 0.9% and is now down 5.7% since inception on June 2, 2019 while, for 2020, it is off 14.6%. Many of the benchmarks we use are also struggling. The fear is that the coronavirus could spread globally and instigate a significant slow-down in a variety of economic areas. [more]

coronavirus
Biotech/Pharma

Is The Coronavirus Out Of Control?

Despite the third day in a row of a decreasing number of new coronavirus cases, the virus could yet turn into an uncontrollable global pandemic. Bill Gates worries that the virus, if it reaches Africa, could wipe out ten million people. [more]

Calafia Beach Pundit

Key Market Indicators Updated

Scott Grannis, the Calafia Beach Pundit, says that although the stock market is high historically, there is still considerable skepticism and caution present. Thus, if the coronavirus and certain political disquiet were to fade, he says that there still seems to be substantial room for a further advance in equity prices. [more]

McClellan Chart-In-Focus

Crude Oil’s Drop Was Foretold By Gold

The latest McClellan Chart-In-Focus report from McClellan Financial Publications postulates that there is a strong relationship between movements in the price of gold and the price of crude oil. This association indicates that oil will bottom in… [more]

Diesel Sign
Model Oil Portfolio

Oil Portfolio Off Dramatically

The specter of a coronavirus epidemic gripped the markets in the last few days with a broad sell-off occurring across almost all indexes. We are on the cusp of this health threat, and we could know soon whether it will proliferate or be contained. [more]