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Seasonality Trends for June 2021
We have updated our Seasonality Chart (presented at the end of this report) and made significant changes, including updating the beginning-and-end dates for the periods of seasonality strength, and adding a further ten industry sectors. We remain cautious towards the market and recommend defensive positions. Given the recent strong upward movements in stock prices, we would welcome over the summer months a lengthy consolidation period or a meaningful, but healthy, pull-back. [more]
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Our Four Market Indicators Still Show Extreme Market Volatility & Downside Potential
The VIX remains in the “High Volatility” range and the S&P 500 index was flat as U.S. Unemployment Claims reached almost 30M and new Coronavirus cases oscillate around 30,000 per day. [more]
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The Market & Economic Indicators We Are Watching – VIX, S&P 500, New Coronavirus Cases, and Unemployment Claims
The S&P 500 was up by 3% last week, but the VIX is still in a “volatile” range and new coronavirus cases & unemployment claims remain plateaued. [more]