Cannabis Stocks Declined -9.9% in May; Now -43.7% YTD

Canadian Pure-play LP Pot Stock Index is Down 15.6% in May

The general market weakness dragged the largest Canadian Licensed Cannabis Producers (as tracked in the Canadian Pure-play LP Pot Stock Index) and the largest American Multi-State Cannabis Operators (as tracked by the American Pure-play MSO Pot Stock Index) down 15.8% and 8.5%, respectively, during May. Here are the details.

The Canadian Pure-play LP Pot Stock Index

The Canadian Pot Stock Index consists of the 5 largest pure-play, vertically integrated Licensed Producers whose stocks trade for at least US$1/share, have a market cap of at least US$300M, and trade on one or more of the Canadian and/or American stock exchanges.

Below is how the 5 constituents performed in May, YTD, and from their market highs in 2021, in descending order:

  1. Cronos (CRON): DOWN 0.3% in May; (-23.2% YTD);  -80.6% from its 2021 peak
    • Chance of Financial Distress in the next 2 years: less than 1%
    • Analyst Consensus: 20 stock analysts currently rate CRON as a SELL
    • Recent Analysis/Commentary: Go here
  2. Tilray (TLRY): DOWN 9.8%; (-36.1% YTD); -93.0% from its 2021 peak
    • Chance of Financial Distress in the next 2 years: +67%
    • Analyst Consensus: 26 stock analysts currently rate TLRY as a HOLD
    • Recent Analysis/Commentary: Go here
  3. Canopy Growth (CGC): DOWN 13.0%; (-43.1% YTD);  -90.5% from its 2021 peak
    • Chance of Financial Distress in the next 2 years: +67%
    • Analyst Consensus: 26 stock analysts currently rate CGC as a SELL
    • Recent Analysis/Commentary: Go here
  4. Organigram (OGI): DOWN 18.4%; (-34.3% YTD);  -80.8% from its peak in 2021
    • Chance of Financial Distress in the next 2 years: less than 1%
    • Analyst Consensus: 17 stock analysts currently rate OGI as a BUY
    • Recent Analysis/Commentary: Go here
  5. Aurora (ACB): DOWN 45.2%;  (-69.3% YTD); -91.2% from its 2021 peak
    • Chance of Financial Distress in the next 2 years: 49%
    • Analyst Consensus: 18 stock analysts currently rate ACB as a SELL
    • Recent Analysis/Commentary: Go here

The Canadian Pure-play LP Pot Stock Index was -15.8% in May and is now -43.1% YTD and -90.2% from its high in 2021. 

Canadian Cannabis flag

The American Pure-play MSO Pot Stocks Index

The American MSO Pot Stock Index consists of the 13 largest pure-play, vertically integrated multi-state operators whose stocks trade for at least US$1/share, have a market cap of at least US$200M (Goodness Growth is less but will soon be owned by, and incorporated into, Verano), and trade on one or more of the Canadian and/or American stock exchanges.

Below is how the 13 constituents performed in May, YTD, and from their market highs in 2021, in descending order:

  1. Curaleaf (CURLF): +4.7% in May; (-31.3% YTD); -65.7% from its 2021 peak
    • Chance of Financial Distress in the next 2 years: 43%
    • Analyst Consensus: 22 stock analysts currently rate CURLF as a BUY
    • Recent Analysis/Commentary: Go here
  2. Trulieve (TCNNF): +2.5%; (-43.1% YTD); -72.0% from its 2021 peak
    • Chance of Financial Distress in the next 2 years: 39%
    • Analyst Consensus: 24 stock analysts currently rate TCNNF as a BUY
    • Recent Analysis/Commentary: Go here
  3. Columbia Care (CCHWF): -1.0%; (-29.4% YTD); -73.6% from its 2021 peak
    • Chance of Financial Distress in the next 2 years: +67%
    • Analyst Consensus: None following CCHWF
  4. Verano (VRNOF): -2.5%; (-39.0% YTD); -69.7% from its 2021 peak
    • Chance of Financial Distress in the next 2 years: 43%
    • Analyst Consensus: None following VRNOF
    • Recent Analysis/Commentary: Go here
  5. Goodness Growth (GDNSF): -5.4%; (-7.0% YTD); -57.8% from its 2021 peak
    • Chance of Financial Distress in the next 2 years: +70%
    • Analyst Consensus: None following GDNSF
  6. Ascend Wellness (AAWH): -9.2%; (-55.1% YTD); -73.8% from its 2021 peak
    • Chance of Financial Distress in the next 2 years: 74%
    • Analyst Consensus: 5 stock analysts currently rate AAWH as a BUY
    • Recent Article Analyses/Commentaries: Go here
  7. Planet 13 (PLNHF): -9.5%; (-45.3% YTD); -80.2% from its 2021 peak
    • Chance of Financial Distress in the next 2 years: 32%
    • Analyst Consensus: 10 stock analysts currently rate PLNHF as a BUY
    • Recent Analysis/Commentary: Go here
  8. Ayr Wellness (AYRWF): -12.2%; (-58.0% YTD); -82.5% from its 2021 peak
    • Chance of Financial Distress in the next 2 years: +74%
    • Analyst Consensus: 3 stock analysts currently rate AYRWF as a BUY
    • Recent Analysis/Commentary: Go here
  9. Cresco (CRLBF): -12.3%; (-42.1% YTD); -77.2% from its 2021 peak
    • Chance of Financial Distress in the next 2 years: +70%
    • Analyst Consensus: None following CRLBF
    • Recent Analysis/Commentary: Go here
  10. TerrAscend (TRSSF): -15.3%; (-34.8% YTD); -74.7% from its 2021 peak
    • Chance of Financial Distress in the next 2 years: +63%
    • Analyst Consensus: None following TRSSF
    • Recent Analyses/Commentaries: Go here
  11. Acreage (ACRDF/ACRHF): -16.3%; (-22.8% YTD); -82.4% from its 2021 peak
    • Chance of Financial Distress in the next 2 years: +73%
    • Analyst Consensus: None following Acreage
    • Recent Analysis/Commentary: Go here
  12. Green Thumb (GTBIF): -20.1%; (-49.2% YTD); -70.7% from its 2021 peak
    • Chance of Financial Distress in the next 2 years: less than 10%
    • Analyst Consensus: 23 stock analysts currently rate GTBIF as a BUY
    • Recent Analysis/Commentary: Go here
  13. Jushi (JUSHF): -24.4%; (-45.5% YTD); -79.4% from its 2021 peak
    • Chance of Financial Distress in the next 2 years: +70%
    • Analyst Consensus: None following JUSHI
    • Latest Analyses/Commentaries: Go here

The American Pure-play MSO Pot Stock Index was -8.5% in May and is now 43.8% YTD and -74.1% from its high in 2021.

Collectively, the Canadian LP and American MSO indices were -9.9% in May and are now -43.7% YTD and -80.2% from their highs in 2021.

Purple potted cannabis plant


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About Lorimer Wilson 17 Articles
Lorimer Wilson is an economic & financial commentator who has written numerous articles on economics, finance, precious metals, and rare earth metals. He is the Editor of www.munKNEE.com that provides a selection of the internet’s best finance articles in an edited, reformatted and abridged format to ensure a fast and easy read. He is a frequent contributor to TalkMarkets.com.