Recession Barometer: The 10/2 Yield Curve Indicator – Week Ending April 12, 2019

Comments about an inversion and a subsequent recession that circulatedat the end of March/beginning of April have dissipated and the world has turned to other concerns.

The inversion in question reflected the short-lived 10-year yield falling below the 3-month yield. The 10Y/3M is but one of many yield comparisons that could be made. Indeed, the 5-year/2-year yield comparison shows that an inversion has been in place since March 2.

You can access this week’s report on the spread of the 10-year/2-year yield curve here … … RB_041219

About Bob Weir 3002 Articles
Bob Weir has over 50 years of investment research and analytical experience in both the equity and fixed-income sectors, and in the commercial real estate industry. He joined eResearch in 2004 and was its President, CEO, and Managing Director, Research Services until December 2018. Prior to joining eResearch, Bob was at Dominion Bond Rating Service (DBRS).