Recession Barometer

In the US, yields for maturities one year and out all rose dramatically last week. No change for Canada. [more]

eResearch is pleased to provide its weekly Recession Barometer report that monitors recession possibilities for both Canada and the USA. Canada is now on Count-Down, but the USA is still on the cusp. [more]

eResearch is pleased to provide its weekly analysis of various yield curve spreads in order to watch for the occurrence of an “inversion”, which traditionally leads to an Economic Recession. Canada has “inverted” and is on Count-Down Watch for a possible Economic Recession, while the USA sits on the cusp.
[more]

eResearch now has Canada on a count-down to a possible Economic Recession. Our Recession Barometer has risen to 9.5x for the United States. Not quite there yet. [more]

eResearch is providing a mid-week update to our Recession Barometer in view of the hysteria in the media and in the market about an Inversion between the 10-Year and the 2-Year Treasuries. Our report shows that there is no Inversion! [more]

eResearch is pleased to provide its weekly analysis of various yield curve spreads in order to watch for the occurrence of an “inversion”, which traditionally leads to an economic recession. This past week, our key metric for assessing the possibility of an Economic Recession occurring in Canada gave a Positive signal. At this point, this does not look like a false signal.
[more]

eResearch is pleased to provide its weekly analysis of various yield curve spreads in order to watch for the occurrence of an “inversion”, which traditionally leads to an economic recession. For Canada, our Inversion watch is on High Alert.
[more]

eResearch is pleased to provide its weekly analysis of various yield curve spreads in order to watch for the occurrence of an “inversion”, which traditionally leads to an economic recession.
[more]