Bob Weir has over 50 years of investment research and analytical experience in both the equity and fixed-income sectors, and in the commercial real estate industry. He joined eResearch in 2004 and was its President, CEO, and Managing Director, Research Services until December 2018. Prior to joining eResearch, Bob was at Dominion Bond Rating Service (DBRS).
eResearch is pleased to provide its weekly analysis of various yield curve spreads in order to watch for the occurrence of an “inversion”, which traditionally leads to an economic recession. This past week, our key metric for assessing the possibility of an Economic Recession occurring in Canada gave a Positive signal. At this point, this does not look like a false signal. [more]
Canadian interest rates have risen quite a bit lately. Also, the spreads are narrowing. However, there is still no change to our Economic Recession forecast for Canada. [more]
The eResearch Recession Barometer for Canada is already in Count-Down mode for a possible Economic Recession occurring within the next 15 to 20 months. All of our key recession-watch yield curve ratios are inverted and are steepening. Does the market know what the current positive economic indicators do not? [more]