CNN Money’s Fear & Greed Index – Remains in “Neutral” as Market Takes a Pause

All but one of the indicators remained in the same position as last week

eResearch Corporation is pleased to provide a summary of CNN Money’s Fear & Greed index for the week ending June 19, 2020.

The current Fear & Greed index is 52 (“Neutral”) similar to 53 (“Neutral”) from last week. The index remains in “Neutral”, after briefly moving to “Greed” for 1 week but spending most of April and May in the “Neutral” or “Fear” zones.

Although the majority of the indicators remained in the same position as last week, Put & Call Options shifted to “Greed” from “Neutral” but this change was not enough to move the overall Index away from “Neutral”.

CNN Money creates a Fear & Greed index by looking at seven market indicators: 1) Junk Bond Demand, 2) Put and Call Options, 3) Market Momentum, 4) Market Volatility, 5) Safe Haven Demand, 6) Stock Price Breadth, and 7) Stock Price Strength. (See below for more details on each indicator.)

TABLE 1: Ranking of Each Indicator for the Week Ended June 19

INDICATOR RATING
Junk Bond Demand Fear
Put and Call Options Greed
Market Momentum Fear
Market Volatility Fear
Safe Haven Demand Greed
Stock Price Breadth Extreme Greed
Stock Price Strength Neutral
RESULT: 52
NEUTRAL

DIAGRAM 1: Fear & Greed Index Meter

Source: CNN Money

The rationale for the index is that investors are driven by two main emotions: Fear and Greed.

  • When too much Fear rules the market – stock prices might drop below their intrinsic value.
  • When too much Greed rules the market – stock prices might be bid up, above their intrinsic value.

Each market indicator is rated on a scale from 0 to 100, the higher the reading, the greedier investors are being; 50 is neutral. All of the Indicators are summed, equally weighted, for a final index reading.

Key:

Status Reading
Extreme Fear 0-25
Fear 26-44
Neutral 45-55
Greed 56-74
Extreme Greed 75-100

DIAGRAM 2: Fear & Greed Index Three-year Graph

Source: CNN Money

CNN Money Fear & Greed index is calculated from seven market indicators:

  1. Junk Bond Demand: The spread between yields on investment grade bonds and junk bonds. The higher the spread, the more risk adverse investors are.
  2. Put and Call Options: The put/call ratio, which compares the trading volume of bullish call options relative to the trading volume of bearish put options.
  3. Market Momentum: The S&P 500 (SPX) versus its 125-day moving average
  4. Market Volatility: The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) measures volatility over the next 30 days.
  5. Safe Haven Demand: The difference in 20-day stock and Treasury returns.
  6. Stock Price Breadth: The volume of shares trading in stocks on the rise versus those declining using the McClellan Volume Summation Index.
  7. Stock Price Strength: The number of stocks hitting 52-week highs and lows on the New York Stock Exchange.

LINK TO THE ORIGINAL ARTICLE

You can visit CNN Money’s Fear & Greed index by clicking here: money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

NOTE: The above link is “live” and the readings will change during each trading day. The readings are “static” from about 5:00 pm until the next market opening day.

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About Chris Thompson 350 Articles
Chris Thompson is the President and Director of Equity Research at eResearch. He is a Professional Engineer and CFA Charterholder with a MBA in Investment Management and over 15 years of experience in software development, FinTech, telecommunications, and information technology. For the past 10 years, he has worked in the Capital Markets in Equity Research, M&A Investment Banking and Consulting in various sectors.