recession barometer-18-new-FI
Economic Insights

Recession Barometer – Canada Continues On Recession Watch

Canadian interest rates have shown some volatile tendencies of late, but the most recent trend is upwards. Since all of our recession-watch interest rate ratios are and remain inverted, we expect to see deteriorating economic fundamentals occur in Canada over the ensuing twelve months. [more]

Economic Insights

Recession Barometer – U.S. Reading Continues To Fall

Canadian interest rates rose sharply last week while U.S. rates stayed fairly constant. Spreads in both countries widened, moving away from Inversion. This lessens the possibility of an Economic Recession occurring in the USA. Canada is already on Recession Watch. [more]

recession-barometer-20-new
Economic Insights

U.S. Recession Barometer: Reading Stuck At 9.0X

Most of the yield curve ratio combinations that we follow weakened this past week. However, the most important metric, the 10-year/2-year ratio, actually widened. We will continue to monitor closely U.S. interest rate developments and yield spreads. [more]

Economic Insights

Recession Barometer: USA Still At 9.5X

eResearch is pleased to provide its weekly Recession Barometer report that monitors recession possibilities for both Canada and the USA. Canada is now on Count-Down, but the USA is still on the cusp. [more]

Recession Barometer 14
Economic Insights

Recession Barometer: Watching The Inversion Tendencies

eResearch is pleased to provide its weekly analysis of various yield curve spreads in order to watch for the occurrence of an “inversion”, which traditionally leads to an Economic Recession. Canada has “inverted” and is on Count-Down Watch for a possible Economic Recession, while the USA sits on the cusp.
[more]