CNBC reported that St. Louis Fed economist William Emmons stated in a recent central bank report that declining home sales are “consistent with the possibility of a late 2019 or early 2020 recession.” The analysis looks at the trends in 4 US markets and overlays the previous three recessions and home sales over prior periods.
You can access the CNBC Editorial at the following link: … CNBC_070219JM
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Most of the yield curve ratio combinations that we follow weakened this past week. However, the most important metric, the 10-year/2-year ratio, actually widened. We will continue to monitor closely U.S. interest rate developments and yield spreads. [more]
eResearch is providing a mid-week update to our Recession Barometer in view of the hysteria in the media and in the market about an Inversion between the 10-Year and the 2-Year Treasuries. Our report shows that there is no Inversion! [more]
The eResearch Recession Barometer rose this past week for the U.S., such that it may yet join Canada in a Count-Down to a possible Economic Recession. [more]
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