CNBC reported that St. Louis Fed economist William Emmons stated in a recent central bank report that declining home sales are “consistent with the possibility of a late 2019 or early 2020 recession.” The analysis looks at the trends in 4 US markets and overlays the previous three recessions and home sales over prior periods.
You can access the CNBC Editorial at the following link: … CNBC_070219JM
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There was a sharp rise in interest rates in the final two days of last week. This moved key yield curve ratios away from Inversion levels and resulted in the Recession Barometer in the USA falling to 8.0x from 9.0x. Canada went on a recession Count-Down as of August 8. [more]
In the US, yields for maturities one year and out all rose dramatically last week. No change for Canada. [more]
eResearch is pleased to provide an article written by Katie Rooney for CNBC Editorial. [more]
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