Recession Barometer: The 10/2 Yield Curve Indicator – Week Ending May 10, 2019

Rates moved lower this past week in both Canada and the USA. However, the Spread moved decidedly lower in Canada, dropping from 0.14x to 0.10x, while in the USA, the Spread ended the week unchanged, at 0.21x. As we show on the two 10-year/2-year Spread charts for the last six years and the past 3 years, the Spread is nowhere near challenging the Inversion level. In fact, the U.S. Spread is close to testing its intermediate down-trend line.

You can access this week’s report on the spread of the 10-year/2-year yield curve here … … RB_051019

About Bob Weir 3002 Articles
Bob Weir has over 50 years of investment research and analytical experience in both the equity and fixed-income sectors, and in the commercial real estate industry. He joined eResearch in 2004 and was its President, CEO, and Managing Director, Research Services until December 2018. Prior to joining eResearch, Bob was at Dominion Bond Rating Service (DBRS).