Economic Insights

Recession Barometer – U.S. Reading Continues To Fall

Canadian interest rates rose sharply last week while U.S. rates stayed fairly constant. Spreads in both countries widened, moving away from Inversion. This lessens the possibility of an Economic Recession occurring in the USA. Canada is already on Recession Watch. [more]

Calafia Beach Pundit

Net Worth and Risk Aversion

The net worth of U.S. households continues to increase while, at the same time, households’ leverage continues to decline. What this means is that U.S. households’ asset values are rising at the same time that risk aversion continues strong. This is a relatively healthy situation. [more]

Analyst Articles

Cannabis Deals Gone Bad

A big merger terminated, an IPO delayed and the first cannabis ETF down almost 60% in share price this past year, has the bloom fallen off the cannabis flower? [more]

recession-barometer-20-new
Economic Insights

U.S. Recession Barometer: Reading Stuck At 9.0X

Most of the yield curve ratio combinations that we follow weakened this past week. However, the most important metric, the 10-year/2-year ratio, actually widened. We will continue to monitor closely U.S. interest rate developments and yield spreads. [more]