CNBC reported that St. Louis Fed economist William Emmons stated in a recent central bank report that declining home sales are “consistent with the possibility of a late 2019 or early 2020 recession.” The analysis looks at the trends in 4 US markets and overlays the previous three recessions and home sales over prior periods.
You can access the CNBC Editorial at the following link: … CNBC_070219JM
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The Portfolio is struggling to gain traction. Its current value is about where it was at the beginning of October. Only five of the nine stocks are profitable although only one of the four losers is decidedly so. The present bevy of stocks is up only 1.2%, and it has been trading profits that have served the Portfolio so well to date. [more]
eResearch is pleased to provide its weekly analysis of various yield curve spreads in order to watch for the occurrence of an “inversion”, which traditionally leads to an economic recession. This past week, our key metric for assessing the possibility of an Economic Recession occurring in Canada gave a Positive signal. At this point, this does not look like a false signal.
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Sector Rotation – can you beat the market by shifting money from one industry sector to another [more]
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